Appendix F: Technical Report — Data & Research

Appendix F: Technical Report — Data & Research

Appendix F: Technical Report — Data & Research -- 53 pages · pp. 400-452

Intro from pp. 400-401

APPENDIX F Technical Report: Data & Research

Oregon Prosperity Council Appendix F: Technical Report – Data and Research

Contents

Section PDF pages Description
[dir] Section 1: Economic Competitiveness pp. 402-425 Section 1 examines Oregon's declining economic competitiveness through employment, population, productivity, and fiscal metrics. Job losses (9,100 statewide, 16,000 in three-county metro), $500 million migration-driven income loss, 12% productivity lag versus national average, and stagnant housing construction highlight interconnected challenges. Government expenditures have quadrupled since 2001, concentrated in personal income taxes.
[dir] Section 2: Tax Burden pp. 426-433 This section compares Oregon's tax burden to neighboring states across multiple tax types: federal and state income taxes, FICA, payroll taxes, and sales taxes. Analysis shows Oregon's top marginal rate hits earliest among peers and its effective tax burdens rank highest for middle-income households, though future kicker impact modeling carries uncertainties.
[dir] Section 3: Comprehensive Tax Reform Scenarios pp. 434-438 Section 3: Comprehensive Tax Reform Scenarios
[dir] Section 4: What Is Good Growth? Productivity, Labor Share & Compensation pp. 439-452 This section examines labor share—workers' share of GDP—as a measure of good growth. It traces the long-term U.S. decline, identifies two mechanisms driving change (structural shifts within industries like manufacturing falling from 62% to 54%, and compositional shifts as lower-labor-share sectors expand), and shows Oregon's outperformance: $6,700 per worker in compensation gains since 1998.

See also